Jamaica Bauxite Institute https://jbi.org.jm/ Jamaica Bauxite Institute Wed, 26 Nov 2025 15:03:09 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.1 https://jbi.org.jm/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/cropped-f-logo-300x258-1-1-32x32.png Jamaica Bauxite Institute https://jbi.org.jm/ 32 32 Earnings https://jbi.org.jm/earnings/ https://jbi.org.jm/earnings/#respond Wed, 26 Nov 2025 15:02:55 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=4015 Gross earnings in the local bauxite/alumina sector amounted to US$151.57 million in Q3 2025, down 4.5% from Q2 and 12.9% lower than Q3 2024. The quarterly decline reflects weaker market prices and softer export volumes, which offset gains from earlier in the year. Despite this downturn, year-to-date gross earnings stood at US$512.52 million, virtually unchanged from the same period in 2024 (−0.1%), supported by strong Q1 performance.

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Gross Earnings
Gross earnings in the local bauxite/alumina sector amounted to US$151.57 million in Q3 2025, down 4.5% from Q2 and 12.9% lower than Q3 2024. The quarterly decline reflects weaker market prices and softer export volumes, which offset gains from earlier in the year. Despite this downturn, year-to-date gross earnings stood at US$512.52 million, virtually unchanged from the same period in 2024 (−0.1%), supported by strong Q1 performance.

Net Earnings
Net earnings aggregated to ~US$84.01 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a marginal 0.4% quarterly gain and a robust 35.4% rise YoY, driven by sustained growth in local cost inflows (+0.5% QoQ; +35.7% YoY). Royalty payments declined 9.8% from Q2 but remained 9.5% higher than the corresponding period a year ago. Year-to-date net earnings amounted to US$246.63 million, up 24.3% compared to Q3 2024, underscoring sustained profitability despite market headwinds.

Total Receipts (US$ ‘000) – Local Bauxite/Alumina Sector

Categories Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024
Income Tax 0 0 0
Royalty 776 700 -9.8% 640 9.5%
Minimal Profit-Sharing Payment 0 0 0
Balance of Profit-Sharing Payment 0 0 0
Levy 0 0 0
Legacy Payments 0 0 0
Local Cost Inflows 82,871 83,309 0.5% 61,389 35.7%
NET EARNED 83,647 84,009 0.4% 62,028 35.4%
GR. EARNED 158,696 151,572 -4.5% 174,048 -12.9%
NET YTD 246,629 198,402 24.3%
GROSS YTD 512,518 512,795 -0.1%

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Capital Expenditure https://jbi.org.jm/capital-expenditure/ https://jbi.org.jm/capital-expenditure/#respond Wed, 26 Nov 2025 15:00:19 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=4013 Capital expenditure in the local alumina industry totalled ~US$18.28 million in Q3 2025, registering an increase of 18.0% from the preceding quarter and growth of 70.1% YoY, underscoring strong investment momentum. Expenditure in the sector was driven by ongoing infrastructure projects, such as mud-stacking expansion and haul road upgrades, alongside continued investment focused on asset reliability and modernization.

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Capital expenditure in the local alumina industry totalled ~US$18.28 million in Q3 2025, registering an increase of 18.0% from the preceding quarter and growth of 70.1% YoY, underscoring strong investment momentum. Expenditure in the sector was driven by ongoing infrastructure projects, such as mud-stacking expansion and haul road upgrades, alongside continued investment focused on asset reliability and modernization.

Year-to-date capital outlay amounted to ~US$31.42 million, up 60.8% over the same period in 2024, supported by the bauxite/alumina companies’ project rollouts and consistent investment activity.

Capital Expenditure (US$) – Local Bauxite/Alumina Sector

Company Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024
Total 15,494,580 18,283,757 18.0% 10,746,285 70.1%
YTD FIGURES 31,424,096 19,538,930 60.8%

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Oil https://jbi.org.jm/oil/ https://jbi.org.jm/oil/#respond Tue, 25 Nov 2025 17:46:43 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=4008 The local alumina industry consumed 659,354 barrels of oil in Q3 2025, down 9.7% from Q2 and marginally lower (−0.5%) year-on-year. The decline aligns with reduced alumina output during the quarter and reflects notable shifts in fuel sourcing.

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The local alumina industry consumed 659,354 barrels of oil in Q3 2025, down 9.7% from Q2 and marginally lower (−0.5%) year-on-year. The decline aligns with reduced alumina output during the quarter and reflects notable shifts in fuel sourcing.

Bunker ‘C’ remained the dominant fuel, totaling 622,288 barrels, a 7.1% quarterly drop but slightly above Q3 2024. Diesel oil usage fell sharply by 33.8% to 31,049 barrels, while recycled fuel declined 27.3% to 4,999 barrels. There was no LNG consumption in the reporting period, contrasting with 5,173 barrels in Q2. Ultra-low sulfur diesel held steady at 1,018 barrels but was down 14.9% YoY.

The industry achieved better fuel efficiency in Q3 2025, as the utilization rate fell to 1.872 barrels per tonne, improving 6.7% QoQ and 2.4% YoY. Year-to-date oil consumption reached ~2.16 million barrels, up 7.4% from 2024, while the average rate of usage rose 9.8%, signaling persistent energy intensity despite Q3 efficiency gains.

Fuel Consumption (bbl) – Local Bauxite/Alumina Sector

Fuel Type Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024
Bunker ‘C’ (est) 670,201 622,288 -7.1% 615,781 1.1%
Recycled Fuel 6,878 4,999 -27.3% 4,122 21.3%
LNG (NFE) (est) 5,173 0 -100.0% 2,992 -100.0%
Ultra Low Sulphur Diesel 1,017 1,018 0.1% 1,195 -14.9%
Diesel Oil (est) 46,868 31,049 -33.8% 38,599 -19.6%
Total Oil/Fuel 730,137 659,354 -9.7% 662,689 -0.5%
bbl/mt Alumina 2.006 1.872 -6.7% 1.92 -2.4%
YTD FIGURES 2,163,930 2,014,445 7.4%
bbl/mt Alumina 1.968 1.79 9.8%

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Caustic Soda (Consumption) https://jbi.org.jm/caustic-soda-consumption/ https://jbi.org.jm/caustic-soda-consumption/#respond Tue, 25 Nov 2025 17:27:48 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=4003 Caustic soda consumption fell in Q3 2025 to approximately 48,589 tonnes, down 7.1% from Q2 and 6.3% lower than in Q3 2024. The usage rate declined to 0.1379/mt, indicating improved efficiency.

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Caustic soda consumption fell in Q3 2025 to approximately 48,589 tonnes, down 7.1% from Q2 and 6.3% lower than in Q3 2024. The usage rate declined to 0.1379/mt, indicating improved efficiency.

Year-to-date consumption, however, increased 7.7% to 100,112 tonnes, with the cumulative utilization rate averaging 0.0911/mt, up 10.0% year-on-year. This suggests that although Q3 operations were more efficient, overall 2025 trends still point to higher caustic soda intensity, possibly due to the processing of lower-grade bauxite.

Caustic Soda Consumption (mt) – Local Bauxite/Alumina Sector

Category Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024
Total Used 52,292 48,589 -7.1% 51,847 -6.3%
Rate/mt 0.1437 0.1379 -4.0% 0.1501 -8.1%
YTD FIGURES 100,112 92,982 7.7%
RATE/MT 0.0911 0.0828 10.0%

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Alumina Exports https://jbi.org.jm/alumina-exports/ https://jbi.org.jm/alumina-exports/#respond Tue, 25 Nov 2025 17:18:15 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=4001 Alumina exports totaled 374,266 tonnes in Q3 2025, falling 5.3% from the previous quarter but remaining 12.9% higher year-on-year, reflecting mixed performance across operating refineries. Windalco shipped 98,548 tonnes of alumina, an 11.9% quarterly decline and 9.4% below Q3 2024, reversing part of its strong Q2 rebound. Jamalco accounted for the majority of exports at 275,718 tonnes, down 2.7% quarter-on-quarter but up 23.9% year-on-year, supported by improved output as shipments were severely constrained during this period in 2024 due to Hurricane Beryl’s damage to the refinery’s port facility.

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Alumina exports totaled 374,266 tonnes in Q3 2025, falling 5.3% from the previous quarter but remaining 12.9% higher year-on-year, reflecting mixed performance across operating refineries. Windalco shipped 98,548 tonnes of alumina, an 11.9% quarterly decline and 9.4% below Q3 2024, reversing part of its strong Q2 rebound. Jamalco accounted for the majority of exports at 275,718 tonnes, down 2.7% quarter-on-quarter but up 23.9% year-on-year, supported by improved output as shipments were severely constrained during this period in 2024 due to Hurricane Beryl’s damage to the refinery’s port facility.

Year-to-date export volumes reached approximately 1.13 million tonnes, a 1.4% increase over the same period in 2024, as Jamalco’s strong year-on-year gains outweighed Windalco’s Q3 slowdown

Alumina Shipped (mt).

COMPANY Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024
Windalco 111,861 98,548 -11.9% 108,812 -9.4%
Jamalco 283,493 275,718 -2.7% 222,554 23.9%
Alpart 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Total 395,354 374,266 -5.3% 331,366 12.9%
YTD FIGURES 1,127,699 1,111,912 1.4%

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Alumina Production https://jbi.org.jm/alumina-production/ https://jbi.org.jm/alumina-production/#respond Tue, 25 Nov 2025 16:01:07 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=3997 Domestic alumina production totaled 352,255 tonnes in Q3 2025, down 3.2% from Q2 but 2.0% higher YoY, as the industry’s two active refineries operated at an average rate of 37.8% capacity.

The decline was led by the Jamalco refinery (operating at 77% capacity), which recorded a quarterly decrease of 3.2% to 270,269 tonnes, though output remained 8.1% above Q3 2024.

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Domestic alumina production totaled 352,255 tonnes in Q3 2025, down 3.2% from Q2 but 2.0% higher YoY, as the industry’s two active refineries operated at an average rate of 37.8% capacity.

The decline was led by the Jamalco refinery (operating at 77% capacity), which recorded a quarterly decrease of 3.2% to 270,269 tonnes, though output remained 8.1% above Q3 2024. Windalco’s production (52.8% of capacity) fell 3.3% to 81,986 tonnes, marking an even sharper 14.1% YoY decrease as the plant experienced some mechanical and logistical setbacks during the review period.

YTD alumina output aggregated to ~1.10 million tonnes, down 2.1% compared to the corresponding period in 2024, as operational challenges and capacity constraints offset early gains.

Alumina Production (mt)

COMPANY Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024 OP RATE Q3 2025
Windalco 84,783 81,986 -3.3% 95,452 -14.1% 52.8%
Jamalco 279,192 270,269 -3.2% 249,923 8.1% 77.4%
Alpart 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0%
Total 363,975 352,255 -3.2% 345,375 2.0% 37.8%
YTD FIGURES 1,099,517 1,123,395 -2.1% 39.8%

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Bauxite Exports https://jbi.org.jm/bauxite-exports/ https://jbi.org.jm/bauxite-exports/#respond Tue, 25 Nov 2025 15:55:00 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=3995 Crude bauxite exports totalled 433,810 tonnes in Q3 2025, down 9.2% from the previous quarter but 12.7% higher YoY. The quarterly decline reflected softer third-party sales to China, partially offset by increased shipments to the Gramercy refinery in the U.S., which helped sustain overall export volumes.

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Crude bauxite exports totalled 433,810 tonnes in Q3 2025, down 9.2% from the previous quarter but 12.7% higher YoY. The quarterly decline reflected softer third-party sales to China, partially offset by increased shipments to the Gramercy refinery in the U.S., which helped sustain overall export volumes.

Notwithstanding the Q3 decline, YTD export volumes reached ~1.46 million tonnes, an 8.0% increase compared to the 1.35 million tonnes shipped during the same period in 2024. This growth underscores resilient demand from third-party Chinese markets and strong performance earlier in the year, even as seasonal and logistical factors weighed on Q3 outcomes.

Crude Bauxite Shipped (mt)

Company Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024
Discovery Bauxite 477,977 433,810 -9.2% 384,870 12.7%
YTD Figures: Q2 2025: 1,458,731 | Q3 2025: 1,350,566 | % Change: 8.0%

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Bauxite Production https://jbi.org.jm/bauxite-production/ https://jbi.org.jm/bauxite-production/#respond Tue, 25 Nov 2025 15:44:49 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=3985 Total bauxite production (crude output plus alumina equivalent) reached ~1.47 million tonnes in Q3 2025, down 6.7% from Q2 but 8.8% higher year-on-year. The quarterly decline reflected weaker output across major producers following strong early-year performance.

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Total bauxite production (crude output plus alumina equivalent) reached ~1.47 million tonnes in Q3 2025, down 6.7% from Q2 but 8.8% higher year-on-year. The quarterly decline reflected weaker output across major producers following strong early-year performance.

Discovery Bauxite posted a 4.9% reduction in bauxite output to 448,933 tonnes, though volumes remained 22.2% higher than Q3 2024, supported by its ongoing ramp-up toward a 4 million DMT target for the year. Jamalco fell 6.5% to 784,889 tonnes, despite maintaining a 12.0% YoY increase, while Windalco recorded the steepest quarterly decline, down 10.3% to 231,609 tonnes, 16.8% lower than its outturn in Q3 2024. Alpart’s operations remain suspended.

Despite the Q3 slowdown, YTD output rose 4.4% to ~4.69 million tonnes, driven by Jamalco’s strong YoY gains and Discovery’s robust performance earlier in the year.

Crude Bauxite and Bauxite Equivalent of Alumina Produced (mt)

Company Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024 OP RATE Q3 2025
Windalco 258,123 231,609 -10.3% 278,370 -16.8% n/a
Jamalco 839,609 784,889 -6.5% 700,738 12.0% n/a
Alpart 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0% n/a
Discovery Bauxite 472,229 448,933 -4.9% 367,411 22.2% 33.3%
Total 1,569,961 1,465,431 -6.7% 1,346,518 8.8%
YTD Figures: Q2 2025: 4,685,463 | Q3 2025: 4,489,323 | % Change: 4.4%

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Natural Gas https://jbi.org.jm/natural-gas/ https://jbi.org.jm/natural-gas/#respond Tue, 25 Nov 2025 15:37:38 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=3980 LNG prices softened on a quarterly basis in Q3 2025, with Henry Hub spot prices averaging US$3.03/MMBtu, down 5.0% QoQ but still 43.2% higher YoY. The decline reflected sustained production strength, high storage levels, and weaker seasonal power demand, which offset July’s export-driven gains and a modest late-summer rebound in September. Despite robust U.S. LNG exports, domestic oversupply and mild weather conditions continued to cap prices.

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LNG prices softened on a quarterly basis in Q3 2025, with Henry Hub spot prices averaging US$3.03/MMBtu, down 5.0% QoQ but still 43.2% higher YoY. The decline reflected sustained production strength, high storage levels, and weaker seasonal power demand, which offset July’s export-driven gains and a modest late-summer rebound in September. Despite robust U.S. LNG exports, domestic oversupply and mild weather conditions continued to cap prices.

The EIA envisages natural gas prices rising steadily through 2026, driven by expanding LNG export demand and stagnant production growth. Further, seasonal heating needs are expected to add short-term pressure, supporting a generally upward trajectory over the forecast period.

Average Natural Gas Prices (US$ per Million Btu)

Prices Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024
Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price 3.19 3.03 -5.0% 2.11 43.2%

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Crude Oil https://jbi.org.jm/crude-oil/ https://jbi.org.jm/crude-oil/#respond Tue, 25 Nov 2025 15:31:23 +0000 https://jbi.org.jm/?p=3978 Average crude oil prices edged higher in Q3 2025, marking a cautious recovery after sharp declines in the previous quarter. Early gains were supported by stronger demand, easing geopolitical tensions, and improved trade sentiment. However, mid-quarter softness followed successive OPEC+ output hikes and speculative selling, before late rebounds driven by resilient physical markets, expectations of U.S. rate cuts, and reduced volatility stabilized benchmarks.

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Average crude oil prices edged higher in Q3 2025, marking a cautious recovery after sharp declines in the previous quarter. Early gains were supported by stronger demand, easing geopolitical tensions, and improved trade sentiment. However, mid-quarter softness followed successive OPEC+ output hikes and speculative selling, before late rebounds driven by resilient physical markets, expectations of U.S. rate cuts, and reduced volatility stabilized benchmarks.

The OPEC Basket averaged US$70.36/bbl, up 4.3% QoQ but down 6.8% YoY. Brent crude posted a modest 1.4% QoQ increase to US$68.96/bbl, while the U.S. benchmark, WTI (Cushing), saw the strongest quarterly gain, rising 7.3% QoQ to US$65.75/bbl. Both benchmarks declined by more than 13% YoY.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) foresees continued downside pressure for oil markets as rising production (increased OPEC+ output) and muted demand swell global inventories. Although sanctions on Russia persist, the agency anticipates supply will remain abundant. China’s stockpiling and potential disruptions could temper losses, but the overall trend is expected to be bearish.

Consequently, price expectations for 2026 have been revised slightly upward amid fragile conditions.

Average Prices (US$/bbl) – Crude Oil

Prices Q2 2025 Q3 2025 % Change Q3 vs Q2 Q3 2024 % Change 2025/2024
OPEC Basket 67.44 70.36 4.3% 75.53 -6.8%
Brent 68.01 68.96 1.4% 79.84 -13.6%
WTI-Cushing 61.29 65.75 7.3% 76.23 -13.7%

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